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Tropical Depression Thirteen Graphics
2020-08-21 13:56:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 21 Aug 2020 11:56:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 21 Aug 2020 09:25:01 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Thirteen (AT3/AL132020)
2020-08-21 13:48:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION NEARING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... As of 8:00 AM AST Fri Aug 21 the center of Thirteen was located near 17.9, -59.2 with movement WNW at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Thirteen Public Advisory Number 6A
2020-08-21 13:48:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM AST Fri Aug 21 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 211147 CCA TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen Intermediate Advisory Number 6A...corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 800 AM AST Fri Aug 21 2020 Corrected latitude in summary block ...DEPRESSION NEARING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.9N 59.2W ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands * Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra * U.S. Virgin Islands * British Virgin Islands * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * St. Martin and St. Barthelemy * Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of this system, as additional tropical storm watches or warnings will likely be required for portions of those areas later today. Interests in Cuba and the remainder of the Bahamas should also monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen was located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 59.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to move near or north of the northern Leeward Islands later today, near or north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Saturday, and near or north of Hispaniola Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the depression is likely to become a tropical storm by the weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands through Sunday. Locally heavy rainfall could lead to flash and urban flooding, as well as an increased potential for mudslides. Some rivers may overflow their banks. 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches is expected over the northern Leeward Islands, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos and southeast Bahamas. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area later today through Saturday night. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Depression Thirteen Graphics
2020-08-21 10:51:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 21 Aug 2020 08:51:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 21 Aug 2020 09:25:01 GMT
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Tropical Depression Thirteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2020-08-21 10:49:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 21 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 210849 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 0900 UTC FRI AUG 21 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 2(18) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 2(24) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) 2(31) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 1(20) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 1(22) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 30(40) 2(42) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 30(36) 2(38) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 5(39) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 4(23) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 8(38) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 10(26) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 21(33) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 22(38) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 24(34) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 1(18) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 7(26) X(26) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 8(37) X(37) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 1(34) X(34) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 1(20) X(20) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 28(36) X(36) X(36) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 9(37) X(37) X(37) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 1(17) HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) HAVANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VIEQUES PR 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT CROIX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SABA 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBUDA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26) PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) PENSACOLA NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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