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Tropical Storm JAVIER Public Advisory Number 6
2016-08-08 16:35:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT MON AUG 08 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 081435 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 900 AM MDT MON AUG 08 2016 ...HEAVY RAINS BEGINNING TO SPREAD OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.0N 109.2W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to Todos Santos A Hurricane Watch is in effect for * Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to San Evaristo * Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Loreto * Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 22.0 North, longitude 109.2 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier is forecast to pass near or over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula later today, and move near the west coast of Baja California Sur tonight and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible while Javier passes near the extreme Baja California peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa and southern Sonora into Baja California Sur with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches through Wednesday morning. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected over the extreme southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area later today. Tropical storm conditions are expected over the remainder of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by late afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm JAVIER Forecast Advisory Number 6
2016-08-08 16:35:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 08 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 081435 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 1500 UTC MON AUG 08 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LOS BARRILES TO TODOS SANTOS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR * TODOS SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LOS BARRILES TO SAN EVARISTO * TODOS SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO * CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 109.2W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 109.2W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 108.9W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.4N 111.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.4N 111.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.7N 112.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.5N 114.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 109.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm JAVIER Graphics
2016-08-08 13:48:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Aug 2016 11:48:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Aug 2016 09:06:12 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm JAVIER (EP1/EP112016)
2016-08-08 13:46:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JAVIER NEARING THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SOON... As of 6:00 AM MDT Mon Aug 8 the center of JAVIER was located near 21.8, -108.9 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm JAVIER Public Advisory Number 5A
2016-08-08 13:46:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 AM MDT MON AUG 08 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 081146 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 600 AM MDT MON AUG 08 2016 ...JAVIER NEARING THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SOON... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.8N 108.9W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to Todos Santos A Hurricane Watch is in effect for * Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to San Evaristo * Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Loreto * Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 21.8 North, longitude 108.9 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier is forecast to pass near or over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late this afternoon or evening, and move near the west coast of Baja California Sur tonight and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is possible during the next day or so, and Javier could become a hurricane as it passes near the southern portion of Baja California. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa and southern Sonora into Baja California Sur with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches through Wednesday morning. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected over the extreme southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by Monday evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected over the remainder of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by late Monday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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