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Tropical Storm NICOLE Public Advisory Number 6
2016-10-05 22:30:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST WED OCT 05 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 052030 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 PM AST WED OCT 05 2016 ...NICOLE A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 63.5W ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 63.5 West. Nicole is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and north-northwest is expected through Thursday. A slower meandering motion is forecast Thursday night and Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible during the next day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm NICOLE Graphics
2016-10-05 16:33:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 05 Oct 2016 14:33:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 05 Oct 2016 14:32:33 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm NICOLE (AT5/AL152016)
2016-10-05 16:32:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NICOLE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Wed Oct 5 the center of NICOLE was located near 25.0, -62.8 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm NICOLE Public Advisory Number 5
2016-10-05 16:32:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST WED OCT 05 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 051432 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 AM AST WED OCT 05 2016 ...NICOLE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 62.8W ABOUT 500 MI...810 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 62.8 West. Nicole is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), but a turn toward the northwest is expected later today. A turn toward the north and northeast with a decrease in forward speed is forecast by Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm NICOLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2016-10-05 16:32:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 051432 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 6(14) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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