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Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred Public Advisory Number 36
2021-08-18 17:18:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1100 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kevin Graphics
2021-08-12 16:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 12 Aug 2021 14:31:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 12 Aug 2021 15:29:02 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kevin Forecast Discussion Number 21
2021-08-12 16:31:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 12 2021 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 121431 TCDEP1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Kevin Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 12 2021 A little bit of convection continues to persist about 200 n mi to the southwest of Kevin's center, but at that distance, it is not considered organized in relation to the cyclone. In fact, Kevin has had this structure for a good 18 hours or so, and it has therefore degenerated into a remnant low. Based on last evening's ASCAT passes, it is assumed that winds as high as 30 kt are still occurring within the circulation. However, the center will be moving over waters colder than 23 degrees Celsius very soon, so a gradual decrease in the winds is expected over the next couple of days. Dissipation of the remnant low in expected in about 3 days. Kevin is moving toward the west-northwest, or 300/12 kt. The remnant low is expected to move along the southwestern periphery of a low- to mid-level ridge centered over the United States and Mexico, which should cause a west-northwestward or northwestward motion until dissipation. There is very little spread in the track guidance, and this last NHC track forecast is just an update of the previous one. This is the last advisory being issued for Kevin. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/1500Z 23.2N 120.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 13/0000Z 24.2N 122.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 13/1200Z 25.5N 124.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/0000Z 27.0N 126.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 14/1200Z 28.7N 128.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 15/0000Z 30.2N 129.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Kevin (EP1/EP112021)
2021-08-12 16:30:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KEVIN DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Aug 12 the center of Kevin was located near 23.2, -120.6 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kevin Public Advisory Number 21
2021-08-12 16:30:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 12 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 121430 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Kevin Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 12 2021 ...KEVIN DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.2N 120.6W ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM SW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Kevin was located near latitude 23.2 North, longitude 120.6 West. Kevin is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early Friday. A turn toward the northwest is expected later on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the remnant low is expected to dissipate by Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kevin are reaching the west coast of Baja California Sur but will gradually subside today. However, another round of swells is expected to reach southern portions of Baja California Sur on Friday from Linda. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg
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