je.st
news
Tag: posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone Daniel Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2018-06-26 16:35:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 261435 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 1500 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
speed
daniel
wind
Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Daniel (EP5/EP052018)
2018-06-26 16:34:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DANIEL DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Jun 26 the center of Daniel was located near 20.0, -120.2 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Tags: summary
daniel
cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone Daniel Public Advisory Number 11
2018-06-26 16:34:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Jun 26 2018 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 261434 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Daniel Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 800 AM PDT Tue Jun 26 2018 ...DANIEL DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 120.2W ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Daniel was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 120.2 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A westward motion is expected to start later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
public
daniel
advisory
Post-Tropical Cyclone Daniel Forecast Advisory Number 11
2018-06-26 16:34:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 261434 TCMEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 1500 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 120.2W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 120.2W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 119.9W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.1N 123.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.0N 126.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 120.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
daniel
advisory
forecast
Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlotta Forecast Discussion Number 18
2018-06-19 04:35:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 190235 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlotta Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 A 2239Z SSMI/S microwave image indicated that a small mid-level circulation remained, but Carlotta's low-level circulation was either very small and indistinct, or it was located along the coast of Mexico. For this, the final advisory, it is assumed that the low-level center is beneath the remnant mid-level circulation. The upper-level circulation noted in hi-res GOES-16 visible imagery has continued to move southwestward and decouple from the rest of the circulation, and what little convection that does exist is rather amorphous-looking and disorganized. Based on the disheveled appearance of the system, Carlotta is considered to be a remnant low pressure system with 20-kt winds. The initial motion estimate is 315/03 kt. Steering currents are weak and the shallow nature of the tiny cyclone should prevent Carlotta's remnant circulation from moving inland over the high mountainous terrain of southwestern Mexico. As a result, the system is forecast to drift northwestward and skirt the coast of Mexico for the next 12-24 hours until dissipation or absorption into the monsoon trough occurs some time on Tuesday. Although there could be some intermittent short-lived bursts of convection, proximity to land, modest northerly vertical wind shear, and dry mid-level air should prevent the remnant low from regenerating into a tropical cyclone. Although Carlotta is no longer a tropical cyclone, an abundance of tropical moisture flowing inland from the Pacific is expected to produce heavy rains, along with life-threatening flash floods and mudslides over southern portions of the states of Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima for the next couple of days. Consult products issued by the Mexican meteorological service for more information. This is the last advisory on Carlotta issued by the National Hurricane Center. For additional information on the remnant low... please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0300Z 18.2N 103.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 19/1200Z 18.4N 104.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
cyclone
Sites : [152] [153] [154] [155] [156] [157] [158] [159] [160] [161] [162] [163] [164] [165] [166] [167] [168] [169] [170] [171] next »