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Tropical Storm DALILA Forecast Advisory Number 5

2013-07-01 04:30:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUL 01 2013 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 010230 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042013 0300 UTC MON JUL 01 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA FORTUNA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE. POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.4W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.4W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.5N 105.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.3N 106.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.7N 107.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.9N 107.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 19.0N 110.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 19.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 104.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm DALILA Graphics

2013-07-01 01:48:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 30 Jun 2013 23:48:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 30 Jun 2013 21:04:44 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm DALILA (EP4/EP042013)

2013-07-01 01:45:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DALILA FINALLY SHOWING SIGNS STRENGTHENING AS IT TURNS NORTHWESTWARD... As of 5:00 PM PDT Sun Jun 30 the center of DALILA was located near 16.5, -104.1 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm DALILA Public Advisory Number 4A

2013-07-01 01:45:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 500 PM PDT SUN JUN 30 2013 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 302345 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DALILA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042013 500 PM PDT SUN JUN 30 2013 ...DALILA FINALLY SHOWING SIGNS STRENGTHENING AS IT TURNS NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 104.1W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA FORTUNA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE. POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.1 WEST. DALILA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...BUT DALILA IS STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM... MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BY LATE MONDAY. RAINFALL...DALILA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...AND JALISCO. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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