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Tropical Storm Theta Forecast Advisory Number 14
2020-11-13 09:36:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 130836 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 24.9W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 140SE 150SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 540SW 320NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 24.9W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 25.4W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.7N 23.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.4N 21.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 31.1N 19.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 30.9N 18.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 31.1N 18.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.1N 18.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 36.0N 17.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 24.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Eta Public Advisory Number 52
2020-11-13 09:34:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 130833 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Eta Advisory Number 52 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 400 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020 ...ETA BECOMES AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW... SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.3N 76.8W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM EST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Eta was located near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 76.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed through Saturday. On the forecast track, Eta is expected to gradually pull away from the southeast U.S. coast today. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Eta could intensify a little as an non-tropical cyclone during the next day or so before it becomes absorbed by a larger non-tropical cyclone on Saturday or Saturday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Eta will affect portions of the southeastern United States coast today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Beven
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Eta Forecast Advisory Number 52
2020-11-13 09:33:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 130833 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 0900 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 76.8W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 76.8W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 78.0W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 35.0N 73.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 37.9N 66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 41.1N 57.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z...ABSORBED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 76.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Theta Public Advisory Number 13
2020-11-13 03:49:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 AM GMT Fri Nov 13 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 130249 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Theta Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020 300 AM GMT Fri Nov 13 2020 ...THETA SLIGHTLY WEAKER AS IT CONTINUES EASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.7N 26.0W ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM S OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Theta was located near latitude 31.7 North, longitude 26.0 West. Theta is moving toward the east near 12 mph (19 km/h). The tropical storm is forecast to gradually turn toward the east-southeast and slow its forward speed by tomorrow night. A continued slow east-southeastward motion is then expected through the end of the week. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 h. Weakening is expected over the weekend, and Theta is forecast to become a remnant low by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Theta Forecast Advisory Number 13
2020-11-13 03:48:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 130248 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0300 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 26.0W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 140SE 150SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 330SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 26.0W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 26.5W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.7N 24.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.4N 22.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.0N 20.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.8N 19.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.8N 18.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.2N 18.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 34.3N 18.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 26.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/CANGIALOSI
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