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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

2020-08-16 04:32:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 160232 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 118.6W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 118.6W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 118.5W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.3N 119.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.5N 121.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.9N 127.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 25.3N 129.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.7N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 118.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 12

2020-08-16 04:31:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020 796 WTPZ35 KNHC 160231 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102020 800 PM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020 ...TEN-E BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.1N 133.8W ABOUT 1705 MI...2745 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 133.8 West. The depression has been stationary during the past several hours. A very slow northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 12

2020-08-16 04:31:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 797 WTPZ25 KNHC 160231 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 133.8W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 133.8W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 133.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.6N 133.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.9N 134.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.1N 134.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.3N 135.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.1N 135.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 13.8N 135.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 13.2N 136.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 12.7N 136.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 133.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 17

2020-08-15 22:34:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2020 891 WTNT31 KNHC 152034 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 500 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2020 ...CENTER OF JOSEPHINE CONTINUING TO PASS NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 61.6W ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 61.6 West. Josephine is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two, followed by a turn toward the northwest and north early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the northeast and north of the Leeward Islands today through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Josephine is now in an area of unfavorable upper-level winds, and weakening is expected during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is possible in Puerto Rico through Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Josephine Forecast Advisory Number 17

2020-08-15 22:34:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020 890 WTNT21 KNHC 152034 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112020 2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 61.6W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 61.6W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 61.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.8N 63.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.1N 65.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.4N 67.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 24.9N 68.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.3N 69.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 28.0N 69.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 30.5N 68.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 33.0N 65.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 61.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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