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Summary for Tropical Depression Twenty-Two (AT2/AL222020)
2020-09-18 10:37:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SLOW MOVING DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... As of 4:00 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 the center of Twenty-Two was located near 22.9, -94.1 with movement NNE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Public Advisory Number 3
2020-09-18 10:37:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 180837 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020 400 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020 ...SLOW MOVING DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 94.1W ABOUT 245 MI...400 KM ENE OF TAMPICO MEXICO ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Interests along the western Gulf of Mexico coast should monitor the progress of the depression. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-Two was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 94.1 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected through early Saturday. A slow westward motion is forecast to begin late Saturday that will likely continue into early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The system could be near or at hurricane strength by Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells are expected to increase and reach the coast of Texas and the Gulf coast of Mexico over the weekend, generated by a combination of the depression and a cold front entering the northern Gulf of Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-09-18 10:36:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 180836 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 0900 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 94.1W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 94.1W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 94.2W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.7N 93.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.9N 93.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.7N 93.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.9N 93.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.0N 94.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.3N 95.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 26.7N 96.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 27.5N 96.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 94.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression Vicky Graphics
2020-09-17 16:40:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 17 Sep 2020 14:40:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 17 Sep 2020 15:41:39 GMT
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Tropical Depression Vicky Forecast Discussion Number 14
2020-09-17 16:40:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Sep 17 2020 000 WTNT41 KNHC 171439 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Vicky Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212020 1100 AM AST Thu Sep 17 2020 Vicky is feeling the affects of very strong upper-level winds associated with the outflow of Hurricane Teddy. These winds have caused the remaining convection to be stripped well away from the center, and recent ASCAT data indicates that Vicky has weakened to a tropical depression. The ASCAT data support a peak wind speed of 30 kt. Vertical wind shear of 40-50 kt is forecast to continue plaguing Vicky, and the cyclone should continue to weaken and become a remnant low later today. The global models indicate that the circulation will open up into a trough within 36 to 48 hours, and the official forecast calls for dissipation within that time period. Now that Vicky has become a vertically shallow cyclone, it has turned south of due west and is moving 260/12 kt. Vicky or its remnants should turn west-southwestward later today as it is steered by the low-level northeasterly flow. The latest NHC track forecast is in best agreement with the HFIP corrected consensus model. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1500Z 21.4N 38.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 18/0000Z 21.0N 39.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 18/1200Z 20.4N 41.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 19/0000Z 19.6N 43.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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