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Tropical Depression Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2020-08-01 04:46:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020 624 FONT15 KNHC 010246 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102020 0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 21.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten (AT5/AL102020)

2020-08-01 04:46:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION PERSISTING OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY... As of 2:00 AM CVT Sat Aug 1 the center of Ten was located near 17.1, -21.1 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Ten Public Advisory Number 2

2020-08-01 04:46:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 552 WTNT35 KNHC 010246 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 200 AM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 ...DEPRESSION PERSISTING OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM CVT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 21.1W ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM ENE OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM CVT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 21.1 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest or west is expected by Saturday afternoon. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to move north of the northernmost Cabo Verde Islands on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Although the system could briefly become a short-lived tropical storm, it is forecast to weaken and become a remnant low within the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM CVT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Advisory Number 2

2020-08-01 04:45:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 010245 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102020 0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 21.1W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 21.1W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 20.6W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.4N 22.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.3N 25.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 21.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Depression Ten Graphics

2020-08-01 00:36:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 31 Jul 2020 22:36:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 31 Jul 2020 22:36:48 GMT

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