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Tropical Depression Ten Graphics
2020-08-01 22:35:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 01 Aug 2020 20:35:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 01 Aug 2020 21:32:02 GMT
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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-08-01 22:34:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 012034 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Ten Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 800 PM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 The depression is barely a tropical cyclone. Most of the deep convection from the burst earlier in the day has now dissipated and the circulation appears to be losing definition. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt based on the ASCAT data from several hours ago. Since the cyclone is over cool waters and in a dry environment, significant deep convection is unlikely to return. Therefore, the depression will likely become a remnant low tonight and open into a trough shortly thereafter. The weak and shallow system has turned to the left recently, with the latest initial motion estimated to be 305/11 kt. A general west-northwest motion is expected until the system dissipates a couple of hundred miles north of the northern-most Cabo Verde Islands tonight or on Sunday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/2100Z 19.2N 23.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 02/0600Z 19.9N 25.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2020-08-01 22:33:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 012033 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102020 2100 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten (AT5/AL102020)
2020-08-01 22:33:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE TONIGHT... As of 8:00 PM CVT Sat Aug 1 the center of Ten was located near 19.2, -23.5 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression Ten Public Advisory Number 5
2020-08-01 22:33:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 012033 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 800 PM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 PM CVT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 23.5W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM N OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM CVT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 23.5 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). The weak system is expected to turn west-northwestward before it dissipates to the north of the Cabo Verde Islands tonight or on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is expected to become a remnant low or dissipate tonight or on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM CVT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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