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Tropical Storm EDOUARD Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2014-09-13 10:44:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014 000 FONT11 KNHC 130844 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 0900 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
Tropical Storm EDOUARD Forecast Advisory Number 8
2014-09-13 10:43:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014 000 WTNT21 KNHC 130843 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 0900 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 46.2W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 46.2W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 45.7W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 21.7N 47.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 23.1N 49.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 24.7N 51.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.1N 54.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 33.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 38.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 46.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Tropical Storm EDOUARD Graphics
2014-09-13 05:12:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 13 Sep 2014 02:54:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 13 Sep 2014 03:06:48 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm EDOUARD (AT1/AL062014)
2014-09-13 04:56:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EDOUARD HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 PM AST Fri Sep 12 the center of EDOUARD was located near 19.5, -45.2 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm EDOUARD Public Advisory Number 7
2014-09-13 04:56:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 12 2014 000 WTNT31 KNHC 130256 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 12 2014 ...EDOUARD HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 45.2W ABOUT 1175 MI...1885 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.2 WEST. EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT NEARLY THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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