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Summary for Tropical Storm Kirk (AT2/AL122018)
2018-09-27 22:35:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 27 the center of Kirk was located near 14.2, -60.2 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 16
2018-09-27 22:35:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 158 WTNT22 KNHC 272035 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 2100 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * ST. LUCIA * DOMINICA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIRK. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 60.2W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 60.2W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 59.8W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.6N 62.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.3N 64.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.8N 66.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.1N 69.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 60.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm Kirk Public Advisory Number 16
2018-09-27 22:35:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 27 2018 159 WTNT32 KNHC 272035 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kirk Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122018 500 PM AST Thu Sep 27 2018 ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 60.2W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NW OF BARBADOS ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Barbados * St. Lucia * Dominica * Martinique * Guadeloupe A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * St. Vincent and the Grenadines Interests elsewhere in the central and northern Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Kirk. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 60.2 West. Kirk is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west- northwestward to westward motion is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Kirk will move across the Lesser Antilles within the Tropical Storm Warning area this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before Kirk moves through the Lesser Antilles. Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next couple of days while the system moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Kirk is forecast to become a tropical depression Friday night, and degenerate into a trough of low pressure by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) primarily to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in portions of the warning area this evening. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in a few hours. Locally higher winds are possible atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains. RAINFALL: Kirk is expected to produce total rainfall of 4 to 6 inches across the northern Windward and southern Leeward Islands with isolated maximum totals up to 10 inches across Martinique and Dominica. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Across Saint Croix and eastern Puerto Rico, Kirk is expected to bring 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches by Friday and Saturday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Kirk Graphics
2018-09-27 19:50:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 27 Sep 2018 17:50:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 27 Sep 2018 15:22:04 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Kirk (AT2/AL122018)
2018-09-27 19:31:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...KIRK ABOUT TO MOVE THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES... As of 2:00 PM AST Thu Sep 27 the center of Kirk was located near 14.0, -59.9 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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