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Tropical Storm Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2021-08-26 22:37:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 262037 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 35(56) 7(63) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 5(26) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 37(58) 7(65) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 4(25) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 12(38) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 54(63) 4(67) X(67) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 2(28) X(28) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 9(35) 1(36) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 1(21) X(21) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 26(36) X(36) 1(37) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 105W 34 3 48(51) 9(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) 15N 105W 50 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 36(39) 10(49) X(49) X(49) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 X 3( 3) 18(21) 36(57) 5(62) 1(63) X(63) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 1 7( 8) 9(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 15N 100W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ACAPULCO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 7(27) 1(28) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm Nora Public Advisory Number 5
2021-08-26 22:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Thu Aug 26 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 262036 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142021 400 PM CDT Thu Aug 26 2021 ...HURRICANE WATCHES AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 101.7W ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo Mexico A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the west-central coast of Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of Nora. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of these areas tonight and on Friday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nora was located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 101.7 West. Nora is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A motion toward the northwest and north-northwest is expected to begin tonight and continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Nora will approach the southwestern coast of Mexico Friday and Friday night and be very near the coast Saturday and Saturday night. Nora will then approach the southern portion of Baja California Sur on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Nora is expected to become a hurricane on Saturday. Nora is a large tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Nora can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area Saturday, with tropical storm conditions beginning on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area beginning tonight or on Friday. RAINFALL: Nora is expected to produce heavy rains over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco. Rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches are forecast through this weekend with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. As a result, life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. SURF: Swells generated by Nora are affecting the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the southwestern coast of Mexico through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Nora Forecast Advisory Number 5
2021-08-26 22:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 262036 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO MEXICO A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 101.7W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 101.7W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 101.1W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.1N 102.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.3N 103.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.8N 104.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.6N 105.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.3N 106.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.6N 107.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.6N 110.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 25.2N 111.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 101.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 27/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Depression Nine Public Advisory Number 1A
2021-08-26 19:42:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 26 2021 000 WTNT34 KNHC 261741 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 26 2021 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 79.5W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SW OF NEGRIL JAMAICA ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands * Cuban provinces of Matanzas, Mayabeque, Havana, Artemisa, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in central and western Cuba, in the northern Yucatan Peninsula, and along the northern U.S. Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 79.5 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion should continue over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will pass near or over the Cayman Islands tonight, the Isle of Youth and western Cuba Friday, and over the southeastern and central Gulf of Mexico Friday night and Saturday. The system is forecast to approach the U.S. northern Gulf coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is forecast during the next few days. The depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight, and become a hurricane when it is near western Cuba or over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Additional strengthening is likely over the Gulf of Mexico, and the system could be near major hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf coast. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Nine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?key_messages. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of the Isle of Youth and near and to the east of where the center crosses the coast of western Cuba. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands tonight, and are expected to reach the Isle of Youth and portions of western Cuba in the warning area on Friday. RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with maximum totals of 15 inches across Jamaica. Rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are expected across the Cayman Islands, western Cuba, including the Isle of Youth, and the northeast portions of the Yucatan Peninsula. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Rainfall from this system is likely to begin impacting portions of the central U.S. Gulf Coast by early Sunday. SURF: Swells generated by this system will begin affecting Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and Cuba tonight and Friday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Nora Public Advisory Number 4A
2021-08-26 19:38:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu Aug 26 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 261737 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142021 100 PM CDT Thu Aug 26 2021 ...SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT NORA'S WIND FIELD HAS GROWN IN SIZE... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.0N 101.0W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 485 MI...785 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan de Galeana Mexico A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the west-central coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Nora. Warnings or additional watches will likely be required later today and tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nora was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 101.0 West. Nora is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through this evening. A motion toward the northwest and north-northwest is forecast to begin overnight and continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Nora will approach the southwestern coast of Mexico on Friday and be very near the coast on Saturday and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Nora is expected to become a hurricane by late Saturday. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that Nora is a large tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Nora can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area Saturday and Sunday, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area beginning Friday or Friday night. RAINFALL: Nora is expected to produce heavy rains over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco. Rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches are forecast through this weekend with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. As a result, life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. SURF: Swells generated by Nora are affecting the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the southwestern coast of Mexico through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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