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Summary for Hurricane Paulette (AT2/AL172020)

2020-09-16 10:29:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN LATER TODAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 16 the center of Paulette was located near 41.9, -49.1 with movement ENE at 29 mph. The minimum central pressure was 966 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

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Hurricane Paulette Public Advisory Number 38

2020-09-16 10:29:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Sep 16 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 160829 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 500 AM AST Wed Sep 16 2020 ...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.9N 49.1W ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was located near latitude 41.9 North, longitude 49.1 West. Paulette is moving toward the east-northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h), and this general motion is expected into Thursday. Afterward, Paulette is forecast to slow down and turn toward the south-southeast and south late Thursday and Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Although gradual weakening is forecast, Paulette is expected to become a powerful extratropical cyclone later today. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb (28.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Paulette will continue to affect the Atlantic Canada, Bermuda, the Bahamas, and portions of the east coast of the United States through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Hurricane Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 38

2020-09-16 10:28:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 935 WTNT22 KNHC 160828 TCMAT2 HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.9N 49.1W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 130SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT.......160NE 220SE 200SW 220NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 540SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.9N 49.1W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 50.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 43.9N 43.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...180NE 220SE 210SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.5N 38.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 10NE 30SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 200SE 220SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 45.6N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 210SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 43.8N 33.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 41.1N 33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 38.5N 33.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 30SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 35.3N 33.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 33.5N 33.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.9N 49.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Paulette Graphics

2020-09-16 04:36:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 16 Sep 2020 02:36:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 16 Sep 2020 02:36:25 GMT

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Summary for Hurricane Paulette (AT2/AL172020)

2020-09-16 04:34:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN A DAY OR SO... As of 11:00 PM AST Tue Sep 15 the center of Paulette was located near 40.7, -52.4 with movement ENE at 28 mph. The minimum central pressure was 966 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

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