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Subtropical Storm Rebekah Forecast Advisory Number 5
2019-10-31 21:31:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 31 2019 000 WTNT24 KNHC 312031 TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 2100 UTC THU OCT 31 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N 33.5W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 90SE 60SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N 33.5W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 34.5W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 41.2N 29.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.1N 33.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Subtropical Storm Rebekah Forecast Discussion Number 4
2019-10-31 15:34:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 31 2019 000 WTNT44 KNHC 311434 TCDAT4 Subtropical Storm Rebekah Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 31 2019 The storm has lost organization since yesterday with only a skeletal curved band west and north of the center. However, ASCAT just came in with 35-40 kt winds, so the initial wind speed will stay 40 kt. Weakening is anticipated today as the low moves over cool waters and into a convergent environment aloft. All of the guidance shows any remaining convection dissipating by this evening, so the storm will likely be in the graveyard in about 12 h. A general eastward track is forecast until Rebekah decomposes into a trough sometime tomorrow, at best becoming a wave along an approaching cold front. Since Rebekah is not expected to be a tropical or subtropical cyclone near the Azores, hazard information can be found in regular products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for those islands at https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/1500Z 40.7N 35.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 01/0000Z 41.1N 32.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 01/1200Z 41.0N 27.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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Subtropical Storm Rebekah Graphics
2019-10-31 15:34:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 31 Oct 2019 14:34:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 31 Oct 2019 14:34:46 GMT
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Subtropical Storm Rebekah Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2019-10-31 15:34:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 31 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 311434 PWSAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 1500 UTC THU OCT 31 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Summary for Subtropical Storm Rebekah (AT4/AL192019)
2019-10-31 15:33:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...REBEKAH LOSING ORGANIZATION OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN... As of 11:00 AM AST Thu Oct 31 the center of Rebekah was located near 40.7, -35.3 with movement ENE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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