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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-15 22:57:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 152057 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to updated the discussion of the low-pressure system northeast of Bermuda. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fred, located over the east-central Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Grace, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Dominican Republic. Updated: Satellite imagery indicates that shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized this afternoon in association with a small but well-defined area of low pressure located about 160 miles northeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development, and if these development trends continue, a tropical depression could form tonight while the low moves slowly to the south or south-southwest at about 5 mph, near or to the east of Bermuda. By Tuesday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, and a Tropical Storm Watch could be required for that island later tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan/Brown
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-15 19:31:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151731 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently re-designated Tropical Storm Fred, located over the east-central Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Storm Grace, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea just to the south of Puerto Rico. A small but well-defined low pressure system located about 175 miles northeast of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this low during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form while it moves slowly to the south or south-southwest at about 5 mph, near or to the east of Bermuda. By Tuesday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-15 13:53:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151153 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Grace, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea just to the south-southeast of Puerto Rico. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on the Remnants of Fred, which are expected to regenerate into a tropical cyclone over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small but well-defined low pressure system located about 200 miles north-northeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the south of the center. Some gradual development is possible over the next couple of days while the system moves slowly to the south or south-southwest at about 5 mph, near or to the east of Bermuda. By Tuesday, however, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-15 07:32:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 150532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Grace, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea just to the southeast of Puerto Rico. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on the Remnants of Fred, which are expected to re-generate into a tropical cyclone over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small but well-defined low pressure system located about 200 miles north-northeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the south and southwest of the center. Some gradual development is possible over the next couple of days while the system moves slowly southward near or to the east of Bermuda. By Tuesday, however, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-15 01:40:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
003 ABNT20 KNHC 142340 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Grace, located just north of Guadeloupe. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on the Remnants of Fred which are expected to re-generate into a tropical cyclone over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight or Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small area of low pressure associated with disorganized showers and thunderstorms has developed more than 200 miles north-northeast of Bermuda. Some gradual development is possible over this weekend into early next week as this system drifts slowly southward near Bermuda over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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