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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone BONNIE (AT2/AL022016)
2016-06-05 04:31:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BONNIE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 11:00 PM AST Sat Jun 4 the center of BONNIE was located near 34.7, -63.6 with movement ESE at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone BONNIE Public Advisory Number 34
2016-06-05 04:31:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 050231 TCPAT2 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 1100 PM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 ...BONNIE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.7N 63.6W ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NNE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Bonnie was located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 63.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-southeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). This general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are expected to gradually decrease on Sunday before the system degenerates into a trough. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Bonnie. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Post-Tropical Cyclone BONNIE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 34
2016-06-05 04:31:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUN 05 2016 000 FONT12 KNHC 050231 PWSAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 0300 UTC SUN JUN 05 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression BONNIE Graphics
2016-06-04 23:06:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 04 Jun 2016 20:31:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 04 Jun 2016 21:03:38 GMT
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Tropical Depression BONNIE Forecast Discussion Number 33
2016-06-04 22:30:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 000 WTNT42 KNHC 042030 TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 500 PM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 Bonnie has lacked significant deep convection for several hours, and the compact cyclone mainly consists of a swirl of low-level clouds. An ASCAT pass from earlier today showed winds near 30 kt in the southeast quadrant of the circulation, and the initial intensity is held at that value. Strong wind shear, dry air, and cold waters should prevent the return of significant thunderstorm activity, and Bonnie will likely degenerate into a remnant low tonight. Most of the models show the remnant low dissipating late Sunday or Monday. The depression has been moving east-southeastward, 110 degrees, at about 12 kt within the mid-latitude westerlies. A general eastward to east-southeastward motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected until Bonnie dissipates. The official track forecast is nudged a little to the south of the previous one, to account for the more southerly initial position and motion, and lies close to the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/2100Z 35.0N 65.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/0600Z 34.5N 62.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 05/1800Z 34.0N 59.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/0600Z 33.3N 55.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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