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Tropical Storm BONNIE Public Advisory Number 30

2016-06-04 04:32:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST FRI JUN 03 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 040232 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 1100 PM AST FRI JUN 03 2016 ...BONNIE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.9N 69.6W ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM NW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was located near latitude 35.9 North, longitude 69.6 West. Bonnie is moving toward the east near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a generally eastward motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Bonnie is forecast to degenerate to a remnant low by Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Storm BONNIE Forecast Discussion Number 29

2016-06-03 22:32:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2016 000 WTNT42 KNHC 032032 TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 500 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2016 Somewhat unexpectedly, the convection associated with Bonnie has increased this afternoon to the point where the satellite intensity estimate from TAFB is now 35 kt. In addition, an ASCAT-B overpass near 1400 UTC showed several 35-kt vectors about 30 n mi southeast of the center. Based on these data, Bonnie is again designated as a tropical storm with an initial intensity of 35 kt. The initial motion is now 090/11. Bonnie should move generally eastward to east-southeastward between the subtropical ridge to the south and a developing baroclinic low to the northeast. The model guidance has shifted a little southward since the last advisory, and the new forecast track is nudged southward as well. The current intensification is likely to be short lived, as Bonnie will be moving over sea surface temperatures colder than 24C in about 12 hours. Thus, the intensity forecast calls for weakening through the forecast period, with Bonnie degenerating to a post-tropical low between 12 and 24 hours. The low should subsequently weaken to a trough between 48 and 72 hours. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/2100Z 35.9N 70.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 04/0600Z 35.9N 68.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 04/1800Z 35.6N 65.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0600Z 35.1N 61.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1800Z 34.6N 57.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

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Summary for Tropical Storm BONNIE (AT2/AL022016)

2016-06-03 22:31:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...BONNIE AGAIN BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM... As of 5:00 PM EDT Fri Jun 3 the center of BONNIE was located near 35.9, -70.5 with movement E at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm BONNIE Forecast Advisory Number 29

2016-06-03 22:31:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 03 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 032031 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 2100 UTC FRI JUN 03 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 70.5W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 70.5W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 71.2W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 35.9N 68.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 35.6N 65.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 35.1N 61.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 34.6N 57.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.9N 70.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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