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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-02 20:44:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
325 ABNT20 KNHC 021843 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 2 2018 Corrected timing of first disturbance moving into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Florence, located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located between north-central Cuba and the central Bahamas is gradually becoming better organized, and upper-level winds are also becoming more favorable. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys. The system is forecast to emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday afternoon and move toward the north-central Gulf Coast Tuesday night and Wednesday. This system will produce locally heavy rains and gusty winds across the central and northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or two. A tropical storm watch could be issued for portions of the northern Gulf Coast tonight. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system. For more information, see products from your local weather forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located along the west coast of Africa is forecast to move westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the next several days. Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become more conducive for some slow development of this disturbance by the middle of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-02 19:41:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
103 ABNT20 KNHC 021741 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 2 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Florence, located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located between north-central Cuba and the central Bahamas is gradually becoming better organized, and upper-level winds are also becoming more favorable. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys. The system is forecast to emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by early Tuesday and move toward the north-central Gulf Coast Tuesday night and Wednesday. This system will produce locally heavy rains and gusty winds across the central and northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or two. A tropical storm watch could be issued for portions of the northern Gulf Coast tonight. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system. For more information, see products from your local weather forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located along the west coast of Africa is forecast to move westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the next several days. Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become more conducive for some slow development of this disturbance by the middle of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-02 19:18:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
219 ABPZ20 KNHC 021718 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 2 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Norman, located near 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Olivia, located about 500 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California peninsula. An broad area of low pressure is expected to form well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual development of this system is possible through the middle of next week while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-02 13:15:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
355 ABPZ20 KNHC 021115 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 2 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Norman, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Olivia, located about 500 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual development of this system is possible through the middle of next week while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-02 13:07:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
222 ABNT20 KNHC 021107 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 2 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Florence, located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southeastern and central Bahamas and adjacent Atlantic waters, including the Straits of Florida, are associated with a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough. This weather system is expected to move west-northwestward across the remainder of the Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or so and little, if any, development is expected during that time due to strong upper-level winds. However, the current unfavorable upper-level wind pattern is expected to gradually change and become more conducive for a tropical depression to form over the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday. This disturbance will spread locally heavy rains across much of the Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Keys during the next day or two. See products from your local weather forecast office for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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