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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-06 19:40:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

547 ABPZ20 KNHC 061739 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 6 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ileana, located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico, and on Tropical Storm John, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is still likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-06 13:39:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

449 ABPZ20 KNHC 061139 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Aug 6 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ileana, located a little more than one hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, and on Tropical Storm John, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have increased in coverage overnight. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm John are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm John are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-06 13:38:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

650 ABNT20 KNHC 061138 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 6 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system centered about 1200 miles west-southwest of the Azores is interacting with an upper-level low. Although the system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the east and northeast of the center, environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves north or north-northeastward over the next day or so. The low is forecast to move over cooler waters by Tuesday night, and development is not expected after that time. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-06 07:32:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

094 ABPZ20 KNHC 060532 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ileana, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm John, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Future advisories on Hector will be issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii. An elongated area of low pressure located about 950 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions still appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Hurricane Hector will be issued under WMO header WTPA31 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP1. Forecast/Advisories on Hurricane Hector will be issued under WMO header WTPA21 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCMCP1. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm John are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm John are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-06 07:32:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

906 ABNT20 KNHC 060532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 6 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical, surface low pressure system centered about 1200 miles southwest of the Azores is interacting with a broad upper-level low. Although thunderstorm activity has increased near and to the east of the low-level center, environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves little over the next day or so. By Monday afternoon, the low is expected to move toward the north or north-northeast and continue that motion through Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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