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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-06 01:57:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

478 ABPZ20 KNHC 052357 CCA TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Aug 5 2018 Corrected to add product headers for Tropical Depression Twelve-E For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Ileana, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Puerto Escondido, Mexico, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twelve-E, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. An area of low pressure located about 950 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated but is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions still appear conducive for this system to consolidate over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-06 01:16:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

224 ABNT20 KNHC 052316 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system centered about 1050 miles west-southwest of the Azores continues to produce limited shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves little over the next day or so, and then moves north-northeastward through Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 19:27:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

646 ABPZ20 KNHC 051727 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located south of Puerto Escondido, Mexico. An elongated area of low pressure location about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better defined, and a tropical depression appears to be forming. If the current development trend continues, advisories will likely be issued this afternoon or evening on this system. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward off the southwest coast of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 19:26:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

020 ABNT20 KNHC 051726 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system centered about 1100 miles west-southwest of the Azores continues to produce limited shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves little over the next day or so, and then moves north-northeastward through Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 13:36:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

658 ABPZ20 KNHC 051135 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located a couple of hundred miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little in organization overnight. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite imagery indicates that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, have become a little better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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