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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 07:52:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 040551 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Ignacio, located about 400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower activity has increased near a low pressure system, associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E, more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Wednesday while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system remains offshore and moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 07:39:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 040538 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Aug 4 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A small and weak area of low pressure, with limited shower and thunderstorm activity, is passing near the Cabo Verde Islands. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next day or so due to unfavorable upper-level winds and marginally warm waters. Afterwards, this system is forecast to move northward or north-northwestward over cooler waters, ending its development chances. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by late Thursday. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for some slow development over the far eastern Atlantic through the weekend into early next week while this system moves generally westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 01:28:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 032328 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 3 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A small area of low pressure, with some associated showers and thunderstorms, is passing just to the east of Praia in the Cabo Verde Islands. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next day or two due to unfavorable upper-level winds and marginally warm waters. The low is forecast to move northward or north-northwestward through Thursday before the system moves over cool waters, ending development chances. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by late Thursday. This system has the potential for slow development over the far eastern Atlantic through the weekend while it moves generally westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 01:27:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 032327 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Ignacio, located about 400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is producing limited and disorganized shower activity more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Wednesday while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system remains offshore and moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-03 19:34:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 031734 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 3 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A small area of low pressure with some associated showers and thunderstorms is located about 100 miles south of Praia in the Cabo Verde Islands. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next day or two due to unfavorable upper-level winds and marginally warm waters. The low is forecast to move northward or north-northwestward through Thursday before the system moves over cool waters, ending development chances. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by late Thursday. This system has the potential for slow development over the far eastern Atlantic through the weekend while it moves westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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