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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-05 01:25:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 042325 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Aug 4 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located almost 1200 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on newly redeveloped Tropical Depression Nine-E, located more than 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 19:48:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041748 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Wed Aug 4 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A small low pressure area with limited shower and thunderstorm activity is meandering over or near the Cabo Verde Islands. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through today while the system moves little. Additional information on the low can be found in high seas forecasts issued by Meteo-France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some slow development east of the Lesser Antilles by Sunday and into early next week while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa by late Thursday. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for gradual development thereafter over the far eastern tropical Atlantic through the weekend into early next week while the system moves generally westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Additional information on the low pressure system near the Cabo Verde Islands can be found in high seas forecasts issued by Meteo France...under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW. $$ Forecaster Pagano/Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 19:30:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041730 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 4 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1100 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the remnant low pressure system of Tropical Depression Nine-E, located more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, has continued to become better organized during the past several hours. If this development trend continues, tropical cyclone advisories will be initiated on this system later today. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for additonal development over the next few days while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. For additional information on this system see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 14:16:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041215 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Aug 4 2021 Corrected order of disturbances For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A small and weak area of low pressure, with limited shower and thunderstorm activity, is passing near the Cabo Verde Islands. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions. Thereafter, this system is forecast to move northward or north-northwestward over cooler waters, ending its development chances. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some slow development east of the Lesser Antilles by Sunday and into early next week while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by late Thursday. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for some slow development over the far eastern Atlantic through the weekend into early next week while the system moves generally westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-04 13:27:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041127 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Aug 4 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower activity, in association with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E, located more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continue to become better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system remains offshore and moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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