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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-08 01:15:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 072315 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 7 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about a hundred miles southwest of the southwesternmost Cabo Verde Islands have been decreasing during the past several hours. Strong upper-level winds and cooler waters are expected to prevent significant development of this system while it moves toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph during the next few days. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds still are possible over portions of the westernmost Cabo Verde Islands through Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A small but well-defined area of low pressure located over the tropical Atlantic about a thousand miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce limited shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more favorable for gradual development over the next several days, and this system could become a tropical depression by the middle of next week. The system is forecast to drift toward the west-southwest or west during the next couple of days, and then move a little faster toward the west-northwest by mid-week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A surface trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, reaching portions of the Lesser Antilles late Monday and then moving across the eastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-08 01:08:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 072308 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Kevin, located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is forming a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early or middle portions of next week. This system is expected to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southern Mexico during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Kevin are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Kevin are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-07 19:35:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071735 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by early next week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-07 19:30:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
477 ABNT20 KNHC 071730 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Aug 7 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a little more than 100 miles south of the southwesternmost Cabo Verde Islands have increased today. Some gradual additional development is possible during the next day or so but strong upper-level winds and cooler waters are likely to prevent significant development after that time. The system is expected to move generally west-northwestward to northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic at 10 to 15 mph. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands tonight and Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A small but well-defined area of low pressure located over the tropical Atlantic about a thousand miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce limited shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more favorable for gradual development over the next several days, and this system could become a tropical depression by the middle of next week. The system is forecast to drift toward the west-southwest or west during the next couple of days, and then move a little faster toward the west-northwest early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave located over the west-central tropical Atlantic is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Significant development of this system is not anticipated as it moves west-northwestward across the Lesser Antilles and eastern Caribbean Sea during the early to middle part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-07 13:40:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The latest satellite derived wind data indicated that the low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better defined overnight. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form today or Sunday while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by early next week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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