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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-22 19:54:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221754 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Peter, located a few hundred miles north of Puerto Rico, and on Tropical Depression Rose, located about 1000 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms remain well organized in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. In addition, recent satellite wind data indicates that the circulation is gradually becoming better defined. If these trends continue, a tropical depression could form as soon as this afternoon or evening. This system should move westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located more than 500 miles west-northwest of the westernmost Azores. This low is beginning to develop more concentrated shower activity and could become a subtropical or tropical cyclone as it moves slowly across marginally warm waters over the north-central Atlantic Ocean during the next several days. However, by the weekend, this system is expected to move south into an environment of strong upper-level winds. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Papin
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-22 19:46:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
339 ABPZ20 KNHC 221745 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system during the next day or two, if any, is likely to be slow. After that time, this system is forecast to move into an environment of stable air and strong upper-level winds, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-22 13:59:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221158 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021 Corrected location of Peter relative to Puerto Rico. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Peter, located a few hundred miles north of Puerto Rico, and on Tropical Depression Rose, located about 1000 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within a day or two while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located a little less than 500 miles west-northwest of the westernmost Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics over marginally warm waters during the next few days while it makes a counter-clockwise loop over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, by the weekend, this system is expected to move into an environment of strong upper-level winds. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Papin
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-22 13:41:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for development, and a short-lived tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the low moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into an environment of stable air and strong upper-level winds this weekend, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-22 07:31:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
715 ABPZ20 KNHC 220531 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 21 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for development, and a short-lived tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the low moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into an environment of stable air and strong upper-level winds this weekend, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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