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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-11 07:20:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 110520 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Elida, located a couple hundred hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located around 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system is expected to form within this area in a day or two, and it will likely become a tropical depression late this week. The system is expected to move slowly westward toward the central Pacific basin during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south or southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development thereafter, and this system will likely become a tropical depression late this week or over the weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-11 01:56:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 102356 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has changed little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development to occur, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-11 01:41:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 102341 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Elida, located less than 100 miles north- northwest of Socorro Island. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure are centered about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system in a day or two, and it will likely become a tropical depression late this week. The system is expected to move slowly westward toward the central Pacific basin during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development thereafter, and this system will likely become a tropical depression by late this week while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-10 19:31:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Elida, located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure are located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system in a couple of days, and it could become a tropical depression late this week. The system is expected to move slowly westward toward the central Pacific basin during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico around the middle of the week. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and this system could also become a tropical depression by late this week while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form by the end of the week over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Gradual development of this system is possible this weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-10 19:30:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 101729 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located almost 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is not currently showing signs of additional organization, with satellite-derived wind data from this morning still showing the system having an elongated surface circulation. However, environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development to occur, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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