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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-11 19:53:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111753 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 11 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Elida, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite imagery indicates that a poorly defined low pressure area has formed in association with the elongated area of disturbed weather located around 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Additional development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days. The system is expected to move slowly westward toward the central Pacific basin during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located a few hundred miles south- southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop from this system well south or southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development thereafter, and this system will likely become a tropical depression late this week or over the weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-11 19:34:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111734 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system is located over the eastern tropical Atlantic more than a thousand miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Shower and thunderstorm activity decreased somewhat this morning, but new activity is now forming near the system's center of circulation. If these storms persist, then advisories would likely be initiated on a tropical depression later today or tonight. Even if a depression does not form by tonight, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development while the system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph during the next couple of days. Conditions are expected to become less conducive for development by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Additional information on the eastern tropical Atlantic low can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-11 13:44:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Aug 11 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Elida, located a few hundred hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located around 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system is expected to form within this area in a day or two, and it will likely become a tropical depression late this week. The system is expected to move slowly westward toward the central Pacific basin during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of disturbed weather has formed a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop from this system well south or southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development thereafter, and this system will likely become a tropical depression late this week or over the weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-11 13:29:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111129 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: First-light visible satellite imagery shows that a better-defined center of circulation is forming in association with a low pressure system located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become more organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for additional development, and advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression as early as later today if these development trends continue. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic during the next few days, and conditions are expected to become less conducive for development by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-11 07:33:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 110533 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Thunderstorm activity associated with a large low pressure system located more than 800 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has increased and become a little better organized over the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development to occur, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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