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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-15 01:17:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 142317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite data indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located about 175 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better defined since yesterday. However, the associated shower activity remains limited. While some additional development of this system is possible, the low is forecast to reach cooler waters on Saturday and the chance of this system becoming a tropical depression appears to be decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure is located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the development of this system and it is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system to develop from this trough over the next day or so, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-14 19:42:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141742 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Josephine, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with the low pressure area located about 300 miles south-southwest of Nantucket, Massachusetts has become better organized. In addition, recent satellite wind data show that the circulation is becoming better defined, with winds to near gale force to the southeast of the center. If current trends continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight. Regardless of development, this system is expected to move east-northeastward well to the southeast of New England and to the south of the Canadian Maritime provinces. Additional information can be found in High Sea High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-14 19:41:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141740 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is located about 200 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have decreased since last night. However, environmental conditions are still expected to be favorable for another day or so and a tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The disturbance is forecast to move over colder waters over the weekend and further development is unlikely after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure is located nearly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the development of this system and it will likely become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system to develop from this trough over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-14 13:34:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141134 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of low pressure stretches from a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula southwestward several hundred miles. The northeastern portion of the trough has slowly organized during the past couple of days and is producing persistent shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is forecast to move over colder waters over the weekend and further development is unlikely after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. The southwestern portion of the aforementioned trough is also producing a large are of disturbed weather nearly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the development of this system and it could become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northward during the next few days. after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system to develop from this trough over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-14 13:32:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141132 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Josephine, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Shower activity has increased in association with a low pressure area located about 100 miles northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Some additional development is possible during the next couple of days, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during that time as the system moves east-northeastward well to the southeast of New England and to the south of the Canadian Maritime provinces. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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