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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-10 13:16:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101116 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Sep 10 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Olaf, located over southern Baja California Sur, Mexico. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the Pacific coast of Central America and the adjacent waters are associated with the southern portion of a tropical wave. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form along this wave south of the southern coast of Mexico during the next day or two, and the low could then develop further into a tropical depression late this weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce heavy rains across portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-10 13:16:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 101116 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 10 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the western Atlantic several hundred miles southwest of Newfoundland, Canada. The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Honduras, the western Caribbean Sea, and portions of the Yucatan peninsula. This system is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche and merge with a pre-existing surface trough located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form Sunday or Monday before the system moves onshore along the western Gulf of Mexico coast. Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rains across portions of Central America through Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast of Africa by tonight. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week as the system moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-10 07:25:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 100525 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Sep 10 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the western Atlantic a few hundred miles north-northeast of Bermuda, and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Mindy, located a few hundred miles east of Charleston, South Carolina. The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Honduras, the western Caribbean Sea, and portions of the Yucatan peninsula. This system is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche and merge with a pre-existing surface trough located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support gradual development, and a tropical depression could form Sunday or Monday before the system moves onshore along the western Gulf of Mexico coast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast of Africa later today or tonight. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week as the system moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-10 07:15:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Sep 9 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Olaf, located over southern Baja California Sur, Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the Pacific coast of Central America and the adjacent waters are associated with the southern portion of a tropical wave. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form along this wave south of the southern coast of Mexico during the next day or two, and the low could then develop further into a tropical depression late this weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-10 01:50:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

868 ABNT20 KNHC 092350 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the western Atlantic a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Depression Mindy, located offshore the southeast coast of the United States. The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over northeastern Honduras and the western Caribbean Sea. This system is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche and merge with a pre-existing surface trough located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support some gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by early next week before the system moves inland over mainland Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast of Africa in the next day or so. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week as the system moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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