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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-14 07:57:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 140557 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Sep 14 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Nicholas, located right along the middle Texas coast. A tropical wave located just west of the African coast is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the weekend while the system moves westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form by midweek a couple of hundred miles north of the southeastern or central Bahamas as a tropical wave interacts with an upper-level trough. Some gradual development of this system is forecast thereafter, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves north-northwestward or northward across the western Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-14 07:54:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140554 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated trough of low pressure is located along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have been slowly diminishing, and environmental conditions no longer appear conducive for additional development. Regardless, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-14 01:11:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 132311 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 13 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Nicholas, located near the central Texas coast. A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is producing an area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by later this week while the system moves westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form by midweek a couple of hundred miles north of the southeastern or central Bahamas as a tropical wave interacts with an upper-level trough. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves north-northwestward or northward across the western Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-14 01:08:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

808 ABPZ20 KNHC 132308 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated trough of low pressure, located a little over a 100 miles offshore the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur over the next day or two while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-13 19:43:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131743 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with an elongated trough of low pressure located about 100 miles offshore the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, and any development should be slow to occur over the next couple of days while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown/Hagen

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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