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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-09 07:19:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 090519 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Olaf, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-09 07:13:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 090513 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the western Atlantic a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Mindy, located inland over northern Florida. The northern portion of a tropical wave over the western Caribbean Sea is forecast to emerge over the southern Bay of Campeche on Saturday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support some gradual development of the system before it moves into mainland Mexico early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast of Africa on Saturday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Mindy are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Mindy are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-09 01:59:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 082359 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda, and on newly developed Tropical Storm Mindy, located about 25 miles west-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the western coast of Africa in a few days. Additional development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Mindy are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Mindy are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Papin

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-09 01:07:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

741 ABPZ20 KNHC 082307 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Olaf, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days to the south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-08 21:19:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 081919 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 320 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to update discussion of the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Updated: Satellite and radar data indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity continues to gradually become better organized in association with an area of low pressure located about 115 miles southwest of Apalachicola, Florida. In addition, satellite-derived wind data indicate that the circulation has become somewhat better defined today. If these development trends continue, advisories will likely be initiated on this system as a tropical depression or tropical storm later this afternoon, and tropical storm warnings could be required for portions of the coast of the Florida Panhandle. After reaching the Florida Panhandle tonight, this system is expected to move across the southeastern United States and emerge over the western Atlantic by late Thursday, where environmental conditions appear unfavorable for additional development. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall are likely across portions of the Florida panhandle and southern Georgia through Thursday, with localized flooding possible. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the western coast of Africa in a few days. Some development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan/Papin

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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