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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-17 13:47:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with a tropical wave located about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another tropical wave located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward at about 5 mph across the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-17 13:26:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 171126 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and northeastern Florida are associated with a weak surface trough. Tropical development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur while it moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph near the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina during the next few days. Regardless of development, the disturbance is forecast to produce heavy rainfall along with a threat of flash flooding in that region. Please see products from your local National Weather Service office or the Weather Prediction Center's Excessive Rainfall Outlook for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-17 07:22:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
277 ABPZ20 KNHC 170522 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1250 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-17 07:14:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 170514 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Aug 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and northeastern Florida are associated with a weak surface trough. Any tropical development of this system is expected to be slow to occur during the next few days while it moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph near the coasts of Georgia, South and North Carolina. Regardless of development, the disturbance is forecast to produce heavy rainfall along with a threat of flash flooding in that region. Please see products from your local National Weather Service office or the Weather Prediction Center's Excessive Rainfall Outlook for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-17 01:54:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162354 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake/Hagen
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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