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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-19 07:03:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 190503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico has changed very little in organization during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a small low pressure system located just south of Guatemala has become more organized over the past few hours. Some additional development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward near the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-19 07:02:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 190502 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Oct 19 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-19 01:54:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 182354 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. This system has become less organized since yesterday, however, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development and a tropical depression is still likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another trough of low pressure has developed within a large area of disturbed weather that extends from Central America westward to south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next few days while it moves slowly westward, near the coast of southern Mexico. Additional information on the broad area of disturbed weather that extends from Central America to south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-19 01:02:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 182302 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-18 19:39:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181739 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An extensive area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extends from Central America westward to the south of the coast of Mexico for several hundred miles. A broad area of low pressure is embedded within this region of disturbed weather near the Gulf of Tehuantepec, but satellite images indicate that the system has lost organization compared to the past couple of days. Still, environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && For additional information on the low near the Gulf of Tehuantepec please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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