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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-14 13:16:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141116 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad, low-latitude tropical wave located more than 800 miles east of French Guiana is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next day or two before upper-level winds become unfavorable around mid-week, prior to the disturbance reaching the northeastern coast of South America. This wave is expected to move westward at about 15 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-14 13:03:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141103 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Oct 14 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small low pressure system is located about 200 miles south- southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization overnight due to moderate winds aloft. However, upper-level winds are expected to gradually become more conducive for development of this disturbance during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early this week while the low moves slowly westward to west-northwestward just offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are possible along coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima during the next few days, and interests in those areas should monitor the progress of this system and refer to products issued by the Mexican Meteorological Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A low pressure area is forecast to develop a few hundred miles south of the southeastern coast of Mexico around the middle of next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat favorable for development of the system while it moves generally westward, parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-14 07:01:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140501 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small low pressure system is located about 80 miles south- southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization during the day and has not persisted near the center of circulation due to strong winds aloft. However, upper-level winds are expected to become gradually more favorable for development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the low moves slowly westward to west-northwestward close to the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are possible along coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima during the next several days, and interests in those areas should monitor the progress of this system and refer to products issued by the Mexican Meteorological Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A low pressure area is forecast to develop a few hundred miles south of the southeastern coast of Mexico around the middle of next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat favorable for development of the system while it moves generally westward, parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-14 07:01:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140500 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next day or two before environmental conditions become unfavorable. This wave is expected to move westward at about 15 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-14 01:40:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 132339 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, located over northern Portugal. A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next day or two before environmental conditions become unfavorable. This wave is expected to move westward at about 15 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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