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Tropical Storm Fred Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2021-08-11 04:54:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 11 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 110254 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 0300 UTC WED AUG 11 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 1(13) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 2(21) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 1(18) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 4(20) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) X(14) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GRAND TURK 34 X 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 2 25(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) PUERTO PLATA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 10 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) PONCE PR 34 32 X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) AGUADILLA PR 34 45 X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Storm Linda Forecast Information (.shp)
2021-08-11 04:52:21| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Wed, 11 Aug 2021 02:52:21 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Kevin (EP1/EP112021)
2021-08-11 04:52:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...POORLY ORGANIZED KEVIN MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... As of 8:00 PM PDT Tue Aug 10 the center of Kevin was located near 19.5, -115.4 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Kevin Public Advisory Number 15
2021-08-11 04:52:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Tue Aug 10 2021 824 WTPZ31 KNHC 110252 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kevin Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 800 PM PDT Tue Aug 10 2021 ...POORLY ORGANIZED KEVIN MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 115.4W ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 115.4 West. Kevin is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A general northwestward or west-northwestward motion is expected over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected to begin tomorrow and Kevin is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kevin are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico, and will spread northward along the coast of Baja California Sur over the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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Tropical Storm Linda Best Track Information (.shp)
2021-08-11 04:52:09| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Wed, 11 Aug 2021 02:52:09 GMT
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