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Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 2

2021-07-14 16:45:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 14 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 141445 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 1500 UTC WED JUL 14 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.1W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.1W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 113.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.9N 115.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.4N 117.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.3N 120.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.0N 122.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.9N 124.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.9N 127.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 14.8N 132.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 114.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Summary for Tropical Storm Felicia (EP1/EP062021)

2021-07-14 15:13:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... As of 7:15 AM MDT Wed Jul 14 the center of Felicia was located near 14.1, -113.6 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Felicia Update Statement

2021-07-14 15:13:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 715 AM MDT Wed Jul 14 2021 000 WTPZ61 KNHC 141313 TCUEP1 Tropical Storm Felicia Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 715 AM MDT Wed Jul 14 2021 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... GOES-16 satellite imagery indicates that the depression has strengthened to Tropical Storm Felicia. The maximum winds are estimated to be 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. The 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC) advisory will reflect this change and provide an updated intensity forecast. SUMMARY OF 715 AM AST...1315 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 113.6W ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES $$ Forecaster Roberts/Brown

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Tropical Storm Elsa Graphics

2021-07-09 16:47:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 09 Jul 2021 14:47:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 09 Jul 2021 14:47:08 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Elsa (AT5/AL052021)

2021-07-09 16:46:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...CENTER OF ELSA OVER EASTERN LONG ISLAND... ...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... As of 11:00 AM EDT Fri Jul 9 the center of Elsa was located near 41.0, -72.1 with movement NE at 31 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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