je.st

Home › henri

Tag: henri

Summary for Tropical Storm Henri (AT3/AL082021)

2021-08-19 10:54:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HENRI FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY... ...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Aug 19 the center of Henri was located near 29.5, -69.5 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical henri

Tropical Storm Henri Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2021-08-19 10:54:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 19 2021 000 FONT13 KNHC 190854 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM HENRI WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082021 0900 UTC THU AUG 19 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 13(33) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 8(24) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 6(21) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 4(19) CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 6(24) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) PORTSMOUTH NH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 5(25) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) WORCESTER MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 4(22) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) SPRINGFIELD MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 5(28) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 25(34) 6(40) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 30(56) 6(62) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) 5(29) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 24(40) 6(46) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 3(18) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 2(19) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 4(23) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 4(22) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) HARTFORD CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 4(28) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 22(42) 4(46) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 2(17) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 3(21) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 12(24) 3(27) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 2(15) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 2(14) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 1(17) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) 1(18) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) 1(15) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) 1(13) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 10(19) 1(20) X(20) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number speed wind storm

Tropical Storm Henri Public Advisory Number 14

2021-08-19 10:54:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Aug 19 2021 000 WTNT33 KNHC 190854 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Henri Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082021 500 AM AST Thu Aug 19 2021 ...HENRI FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY... ...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 69.5W ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 810 MI...1300 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northeastern U.S. and Atlantic Canada should monitor the progress of Henri. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henri was located near latitude 29.5 North, longitude 69.5 West. Henri is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is forecast on Friday, followed by an acceleration toward the north and north-northeast Saturday and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Henri will remain well offshore the east coast of the United States over the next couple of days but could approach southeastern New England on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Henri is expected to become a hurricane by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Henri should continue to affect Bermuda during the next day or so. Swells are expected to increase across much of the east coast of the U.S. and Atlantic Canada later this week and this weekend. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm Henri Forecast Advisory Number 14

2021-08-19 10:54:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 19 2021 000 WTNT23 KNHC 190854 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HENRI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082021 0900 UTC THU AUG 19 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. AND ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HENRI. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 69.5W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 69.5W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 69.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 29.5N 70.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 29.9N 72.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 31.0N 73.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 25SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 35.7N 71.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 38.2N 70.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 41.1N 69.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 42.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 69.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number storm advisory tropical