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Summary for Tropical Depression One-E (EP1/EP012020)
2020-04-26 09:33:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 the center of One-E was located near 15.2, -118.2 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression One-E Public Advisory Number 4
2020-04-26 09:33:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 260733 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 200 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 118.2W ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 118.2 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected by tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-04-26 09:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 260732 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 0900 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 118.2W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 118.2W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 117.8W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.9N 119.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N 121.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 123.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 118.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Tropical Depression One-E Graphics
2020-04-26 04:33:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 26 Apr 2020 02:33:27 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 26 Apr 2020 02:33:27 GMT
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 3
2020-04-26 04:32:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 260232 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 800 PM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020 Deep convection has increased a little in association with Tropical Depression One-E during the past several hours. However, visible satellite images and an AMSR2 microwave pass from a few hours ago indicate that the low-level center is displaced to the northwest of the main area of showers and thunderstorms. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt, following the Dvorak classification from TAFB. This estimate is also in line with the latest satellite intensity estimates from CIMSS ADT and SATCON. It is also worth noting that dry air is wrapping into the circulation of the depression, which is likely limiting its convective organization. Although some very short-term strengthening can't be ruled out and it is possible that the cyclone could briefly become a tropical storm, weakening should begin on Sunday. The system will be moving into an environment of strong westerly shear, drier air, and progressively cooler waters. These conditions should cause the system to become a remnant low by Sunday night, when the shear is expected to be near 30 kt and SSTs around 24 C beneath the cyclone. All of the models show the the depression dissipating entirely early next week. The track forecast reasoning is unchanged from earlier today. The depression is currently moving northwestward on the southwest side of a mid-level ridge, and it should continue moving in that direction for the next 12 to 24 hours. After that time, the cyclone is forecast to be a shallow remnant low, and it expected to move westward in the low-level trade wind flow until it dissipates. The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 14.8N 117.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 15.6N 118.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 27/0000Z 16.3N 120.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/1200Z 16.7N 122.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/0000Z 17.0N 124.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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