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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-25 01:25:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 242325 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Earlier this afternoon and evening, an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated the low pressure system off the east coast of Florida and found a well-defined center of circulation about 185 miles east of Cape Canaveral. However, the system still lacks organized shower and thunderstorm activity near its center and therefore has not met the criteria to be designated as a tropical depression. Environmental conditions are expected to remain marginally conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could still form overnight or on Sunday while the low moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph toward the east coast of Florida. Interests in Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Another Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Sunday morning, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg/Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-25 01:14:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 242314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system could become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a few days. Some gradual development is possible thereafter through the middle of next week while the system moves generally parallel to, but offshore of, the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-24 19:55:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241754 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located more than 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. This activity has become a bit better organized, but the system currently lacks a well-defined low-level circulation. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system could become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-24 19:44:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 241743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorm activity remain disorganized in association with the low pressure system located about 200 miles east of Daytona Beach, Florida. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for additional development, but a tropical depression could still form over the next day or so while the low drifts westward towards the Florida Peninsula. Interests in Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is en route to investigate the system further. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-24 13:52:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241151 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are generally conducive for development, and this system could become a tropical depression this weekend or early next week before it reaches cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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