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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-26 07:49:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 260549 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A well-defined low pressure system located about 1100 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, and environmental conditions are gradually becoming less conducive for additional development to occur. However, any increase in the organization of the shower activity would result in the formation of a tropical depression on Monday. The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific basin by late Monday morning, and by Tuesday conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-26 07:24:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 260524 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Jul 26 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite and radar data indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located about 45 miles east of St. Augustine, Florida, or about 75 miles southeast of Jacksonville, Florida, remain disorganized and limited in coverage. Environmental conditions are gradually becoming less conducive for a tropical depression to develop before the low moves inland over northeastern Florida or Georgia later this morning. However, interests in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of this system due to the possibility of brief periods of gusty winds to 40 mph, locally heavy rainfall, and dangerous lightning strikes. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-26 01:22:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 252322 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system have persisted for much of the day, but they remain displaced to the northwest and north of the circulation center. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for some additional development during the next day or so, and only a slight increase in the organization of the system would result in the development of a tropical depression. The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific basin on Monday morning, and on Tuesday conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-26 01:14:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 252313 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite and radar data indicate that showers associated with a low pressure area located about 150 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville, Florida, remain disorganized and limited in coverage. However, environmental conditions are marginally conducive for development, and a tropical depression could still form overnight or on Monday while the low moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, reaching the coast of northeastern Florida or Georgia Monday evening or Monday night. Interests in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-25 19:57:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 251757 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure area located about 150 miles east of Daytona Beach, Florida, is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity mainly over the southern part of its circulation. Preliminary reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that this system has changed little in strength since yesterday. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for development, and a tropical depression could still form later today or early Monday while the low drifts westward or west-northwestward toward the northeast coast of Florida. Interests in Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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