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Summary for Tropical Storm DANIELLE (AT4/AL042016)
2016-06-20 19:47:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DANIELLE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO... As of 1:00 PM CDT Mon Jun 20 the center of DANIELLE was located near 20.7, -96.6 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm DANIELLE Public Advisory Number 4A
2016-06-20 19:47:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 201747 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 100 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 ...DANIELLE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 96.6W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Laguna Verde to Rio Panuco Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danielle was located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 96.6 West. Danielle is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Danielle is expected to move inland over eastern Mexico later today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before Danielle makes landfall in Mexico later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Danielle is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible in higher terrain over the Mexican states of Veracruz, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosi, Queretaro, Hidalgo, and northern Puebla. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. More than 5 inches of rain have already occurred at Poza Rica de Hidalgo, Mexico. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast within portions of the warning area later this morning, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart/Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm DANIELLE Graphics
2016-06-20 17:06:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 20 Jun 2016 14:31:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 20 Jun 2016 15:03:33 GMT
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Tropical Storm DANIELLE Forecast Discussion Number 4
2016-06-20 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 000 WTNT44 KNHC 201433 TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft this morning measured an 850-mb maximum flight-level wind of 52 kt north of the center along with an SFMR surface wind of 40 kt. Based on these data and the overall improvement in the satellite presentation, the depression was upgraded to a tropical storm. Danielle becomes the earliest fourth-named storm in the Atlantic basin, surpassing Tropical Storm Debbie of 2012. The initial motion estimate is 280/06 kt. Recon wind data indicate that Danielle made a jog to the northwest, probably due to reformation of the low-level center closer to an earlier burst of strong convection. However, the general east-to-west deep layer steering flow supports a slow but steady motion toward the west or west-northwest for the next 24 hours, resulting in Danielle moving inland along the east coast of Mexico later today or tonight. The official forecast track lies close to the HWRF model. Some modest strengthening before landfall cannot be ruled out, but no rapid or significant strengthening is expected due to Danielle's imminent interaction with land. Rapid weakening of the wind field is forecast after landfall occurs, with dissipation expected by 36 h. Heavy rainfall continues to be the primary threat associated with Danielle. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides over portions of eastern Mexico during the next couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 20.7N 96.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 21/0000Z 20.8N 97.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...NEAR THE COAST 24H 21/1200Z 20.8N 98.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Summary for Tropical Storm DANIELLE (AT4/AL042016)
2016-06-20 16:32:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DANIELLE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO... As of 10:00 AM CDT Mon Jun 20 the center of DANIELLE was located near 20.7, -96.3 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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