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Tropical Storm Barry Public Advisory Number 17

2019-07-14 16:45:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 761 WTNT32 KNHC 141445 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Barry Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 1000 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 ...BARRY MOVING NORTHWARD OVER NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING RAINS TO CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 93.4W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... The Storm Surge Warning from Intracoastal City to the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Morgan City to Cameron A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. The Tropical Storm Warning will likely be discontinued later this afternoon. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry was located by NOAA Doppler radars and surface observations near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 93.4 West. Barry is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue through Monday morning. A motion toward the north-northeast and northeast is expected Monday afternoon into Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Barry will move across the western and northern portions of Louisiana today, and over Arkansas tonight and Monday. NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring near the coast well to the southeast of the center. Weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) to the southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph (64 km/h) and a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h) was recently reported at an NOS site at Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana. A wind gust to 49 mph (80 km/h) was also recently reported at a Weatherflow site at Cameron, Louisiana. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the southern coast of Louisiana are gradually receding. However, some minor coastal flooding is still possible through today. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches over south-central Louisiana, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches. Across the remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life-threatening flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions will persist through early this afternoon. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible today across portions of southeastern Louisiana, Mississippi, western Alabama, eastern Arkansas, and western Tennessee. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Tropical Storm Barry Forecast Advisory Number 17

2019-07-14 16:45:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 14 2019 423 WTNT22 KNHC 141445 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022019 1500 UTC SUN JUL 14 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 93.4W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 93.4W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 93.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.8N 93.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.2N 93.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.7N 93.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 37.4N 91.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 93.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 14/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Summary for Tropical Storm Barry (AT2/AL022019)

2019-07-14 13:40:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...BARRY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING RAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT... As of 7:00 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 the center of Barry was located near 31.4, -93.4 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Barry Public Advisory Number 16A

2019-07-14 13:40:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 141140 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Barry Intermediate Advisory Number 16A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 700 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 ...BARRY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING RAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.4N 93.4W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF PEASON RIDGE LOUISIANA ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Morgan City to Cameron A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Intracoastal City to Mouth of Atchafalaya River A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry was located near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 93.4 West. Barry is moving toward the north near 6 mph (10 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Barry will move across the western and northern portions of Louisiana today, and over Arkansas tonight and Monday. NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring near the coast to the southeast of the center. Weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) mainly over water to the southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) was recently reported at Cypremort Point, Louisiana, located in Vermilion Bay. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Intracoastal City to the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River...1 to 3 ft Mouth of the Atchafalaya River to Biloxi MS, including Lake Pontchartrain...Water levels are decreasing to normal levels as the storm moves inland. RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches over south-central Louisiana, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. Across the remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life-threatening flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions will persist through the morning. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible today across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, western Alabama, and eastern Arkansas. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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