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Tropical Storm Daniel Graphics
2018-06-25 10:33:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 25 Jun 2018 08:33:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 25 Jun 2018 09:25:33 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Daniel (EP5/EP052018)
2018-06-25 10:31:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DANIEL EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... As of 2:00 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 the center of Daniel was located near 18.8, -116.9 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Daniel Public Advisory Number 6
2018-06-25 10:31:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 250831 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Daniel Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 200 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 ...DANIEL EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 116.9W ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Daniel was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 116.9 West. Daniel is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue this morning. A gradual turn toward the northwest at about the same forward speed is expected to begin by this afternoon or evening. A steady westward motion is forecast to begin on Tuesday and continue until Daniel dissipates later this week. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected to begin later this morning with Daniel forecast to become a tropical depression by late tonight or early Tuesday morning. Further weakening is expected thereafter, with Daniel becoming a remnant low by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Daniel Forecast Advisory Number 6
2018-06-25 10:31:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUN 25 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 250831 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 0900 UTC MON JUN 25 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 116.9W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 116.9W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 116.7W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.5N 117.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 30SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.2N 119.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.4N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.5N 122.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.3N 126.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 116.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Daniel Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2018-06-25 10:31:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUN 25 2018 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 250831 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 0900 UTC MON JUN 25 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 X 12(12) 11(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 20N 120W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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