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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)

2016-09-06 16:44:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HERMINE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD... As of 11:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 the center of HERMINE was located near 39.5, -71.9 with movement W at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Forecast Advisory Number 37

2016-09-06 16:44:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 061443 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1500 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...NANTUCKET...AND THE COAST FROM NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 71.9W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 210SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 71.9W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 71.7W...POST-TROPICAL FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.3N 72.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 39.4N 72.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 39.9N 72.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 40.5N 71.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 71.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Graphics

2016-09-06 14:14:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 06 Sep 2016 12:14:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 06 Sep 2016 09:04:38 GMT

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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)

2016-09-06 13:44:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HERMINE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST... As of 8:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 the center of HERMINE was located near 39.6, -71.7 with movement W at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 36A

2016-09-06 13:44:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 AM EDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 061144 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 800 AM EDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...HERMINE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.6N 71.7W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor * New Haven to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 71.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 6 mph (10 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected later today, and Hermine will likely become nearly stationary by tonight. A turn toward the northeast is forecast to occur on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The Montauk Point buoy south of eastern Long Island recently reported a 36-mph (58 km/h) sustained wind and a gust to 45 mph (72 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the warning area today. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor...1 to 2 feet. RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce additional light rainfall amounts not exceeding 1 inch along the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coastline from New Jersey to eastern Long Island to southeastern Massachusetts. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will continue to affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England for another couple of days. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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