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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-09-05 16:39:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST UNITED STATES COASTS... As of 11:00 AM AST Mon Sep 5 the center of HERMINE was located near 38.8, -68.8 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 33
2016-09-05 16:39:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST MON SEP 05 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 051438 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1100 AM AST MON SEP 05 2016 ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST UNITED STATES COASTS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.8N 68.8W ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SE OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor * New Haven to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 38.8 North, longitude 68.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a turn toward the north with decreasing forward speed is expected over the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will meander slowly offshore of the New England coast through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Hermine should remain near hurricane strength today. A gradual weakening trend is forecast to begin on Tuesday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin over portions of the warning area later today. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor...1 to 2 feet RAINFALL: Hermine will produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across eastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and the offshore islands, through Wednesday. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Graphics
2016-09-05 16:38:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 14:38:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 14:36:33 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Forecast Advisory Number 33
2016-09-05 16:36:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 051436 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR * NEW HAVEN TO SAGAMORE BEACH * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 68.8W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......140NE 0SE 0SW 140NW. 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 360SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 68.8W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 68.4W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 39.2N 69.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 34 KT...200NE 160SE 160SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.7N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 40.0N 70.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.5N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N 69.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 44.5N 62.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 68.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Graphics
2016-09-05 13:55:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 11:55:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 09:05:35 GMT
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