je.st
news
Tag: cyclone
Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-09-03 22:55:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HERMINE EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL CYCLONE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... As of 5:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 3 the center of HERMINE was located near 36.2, -73.3 with movement ENE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
Tags: summary
cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 26
2016-09-03 22:55:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 032055 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 500 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 ...HERMINE EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL CYCLONE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.2N 73.3W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ESE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island eastward. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to west of Watch Hill * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds * Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward * Delaware Bay A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Watch Hill to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 36.2 North, longitude 73.3 West. Hermine is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northeast and a decrease in forward speed is expected by Sunday, followed by a slow northward to northwestward motion through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will meander slowly offshore of the mid-Atlantic coast for the next copule of days. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected, and Hermine is expected to intensify to hurricane force on Sunday. Hermine has a large wind field. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. NOAA buoy 44014, located about 75 miles (120 km) east of Virginia Beach, recently reported a sustained wind of 54 mph (86 km/h) and a gust of 67 mph (108 km/h). The Norfolk International Airport recently reported a wind gust of 43 mph (69 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward within the warning area along the Atlantic coast through Monday, and there may be multiple occurrences of tropical storm conditions along portions of the mid-Atlantic coast in the warning area during the next couple of days. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by Monday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation through tonight in the Hampton Roads area, and in the next 36 hours from Chincoteague, Virginia, to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Persons within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow all instructions, including evacuation orders, from local officials. There is also the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours at many coastal locations between Sandy Hook, New Jersey, and Bridgeport, Connecticut. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning graphic, which displays areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... North Carolina sounds...1 to 3 feet Hampton Roads area...2 to 4 feet Chincoteague, VA to Sandy Hook, NJ...3 to 5 feet Sandy Hook, NJ to Bridgeport, CT...2 to 4 feet RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 7 inches over far southeastern Virginia and the Atlantic coastal portion of Maryland through Monday morning. Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 4 inches over southern Delaware, southern and eastern New Jersey, and Long Island through Monday morning. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states and expand northward along the coast of southern New England through Monday. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
public
advisory
cyclone
Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Forecast Advisory Number 26
2016-09-03 22:54:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 032054 TCMAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OCRACOKE INLET TO WEST OF WATCH HILL * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD * DELAWARE BAY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL TO SAGAMORE BEACH * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 73.3W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 120SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 73.3W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 74.1W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 160SE 120SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 37.2N 71.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 150SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 37.7N 71.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 150SE 170SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.0N 72.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 38.8N 71.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 40.0N 71.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 41.0N 68.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N 73.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
cyclone
Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-09-03 19:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...VERY STRONG WINDS AND SOUND-SIDE FLOODING OCCURRING OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... As of 2:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 3 the center of HERMINE was located near 36.0, -74.2 with movement E at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
Tags: summary
cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory Number 25A
2016-09-03 19:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 031758 TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 200 PM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 ...VERY STRONG WINDS AND SOUND-SIDE FLOODING OCCURRING OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.0N 74.2W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM E OF DUCK NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM ESE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to west of Watch Hill * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds * Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward * Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island eastward * Delaware Bay A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Watch Hill to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 74.2 West. Hermine has been moving toward the east at around 10 mph (17 km/h) during the past few hours. A turn toward the northeast and a decrease in forward speed are expected by tonight, followed by a slow northward motion through early Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will move away from the North Carolina coast this afternoon and meander offshore of the Delmarva Peninsula Sunday night and early Monday. Surface data and data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Hermine is expected to be near hurricane intensity by Sunday. Hermine is producing a large area of tropical-storm-force winds that extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. A National Ocean Service station at Duck Pier in North Carolina recently reported a sustained wind of 56 mph (91 km/h) and a wind gust of 72 mph (117 km/h). A National Ocean Service station at the Coast Guard station at Hatteras, North Carolina recently reported a sustained wind of 48 mph (78 km/h) and a gust of 60 mph (97 km/h). NOAA buoy 44014, located about 75 miles (120 km) east of Virginia Beach recently reported sustained winds of 54 mph (86 km/h) and a gust of 69 mph (112 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward within the warning area along the Atlantic coast through Sunday. Wind gusts of hurricane force are occurring over portions of the North Carolina Outer Banks and will continue through this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by late Sunday or Sunday night. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the next few hours in the Hampton Roads area, and in the next 36 hours from Chincoteague, Virginia, to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Persons within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow all instructions, including evacuation orders, from local officials. There is also the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours at many coastal locations between Sandy Hook, New Jersey, and Bridgeport, Connecticut. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning graphic, which displays areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... North Carolina coast...1 to 3 feet Hampton Roads area...3 to 5 feet Chincoteague, VA to Sandy Hook, NJ...3 to 5 feet Sandy Hook, NJ to Bridgeport, CT...2 to 4 feet RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 7 inches over far southeastern Virginia and the Atlantic coastal portion of Maryland through Monday morning. Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 4 inches over southern Delaware, southern and eastern New Jersey, and Long Island through Monday morning. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states and expand northward along the coast of southern New England through the weekend. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
public
advisory
cyclone
Sites : [378] [379] [380] [381] [382] [383] [384] [385] [386] [387] [388] [389] [390] [391] [392] [393] [394] [395] [396] [397] next »