Home › cyclone
 

Keywords :   


Tag: cyclone

Post-Tropical Cyclone EDOUARD Wind Speed Probabilities Number 34

2014-09-19 22:31:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014 000 FONT11 KNHC 192031 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/HUFFMAN

Tags: number speed wind cyclone

 

Post-Tropical Cyclone EDOUARD Forecast Advisory Number 34

2014-09-19 22:30:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014 000 WTNT21 KNHC 192030 TCMAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 2100 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 37.5W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 80SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..260NE 300SE 240SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 37.5W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 37.9W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.4N 36.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.0N 33.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 38.0N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 36.3N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 37.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON EDOUARD. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/HUFFMAN

Tags: number advisory forecast cyclone

 
 

Post-Tropical Cyclone NORBERT Graphics

2014-09-08 11:07:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Sep 2014 08:45:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Sep 2014 09:03:46 GMT

Tags: graphics cyclone norbert posttropical

 

Post-Tropical Cyclone NORBERT Forecast Advisory Number 24

2014-09-08 10:52:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 08 2014 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 080852 TCMEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24..CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 0900 UTC MON SEP 08 2014 CORRECTED TO INCLUDE STATEMENT REFERENCING FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 118.3W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 118.3W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 118.1W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 27.7N 118.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.5N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 29.0N 117.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 29.3N 116.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 118.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON NORBERT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST- TROPICAL CYCLONE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

Tags: number advisory forecast cyclone

 

Post-Tropical Cyclone NORBERT Forecast Discussion Number 24

2014-09-08 10:51:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT MON SEP 08 2014 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 080851 TCDEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NORBERT DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 200 AM PDT MON SEP 08 2014 There has been no organized deep convection within Norbert's circulation for more than 12 hours now, so the system is being declared a post-tropical cyclone. The initial wind speed is lowered to 35 kt in basic agreement with a 0524 UTC ASCAT-B overpass that indicated wind vectors of around 32 kt in the southwestern quadrant. Since Norbert is expected to move over even cooler waters, it is presumed that a faster rate of decay should occur during the next couple of days, with dissipation forecast in 2-3 days. The official wind speed forecast shows slightly faster weakening than the previous one, with the expectation that the remnant low of Norbert will be very weak when it approaches the north-central Baja California peninsula. Norbert has been moving northwestward or 320/5 kt. The post- tropical cyclone should turn toward the north and northeast during the next couple of days ahead of a mid-tropospheric trough advancing eastward offshore of the California coast. In 2-3 days, the shallow remnant circulation should be pushed east-northeastward or eastward by the low-level flow toward the coast of the northern Baja California peninsula prior to dissipation. The official track forecast is essentially the same as the previous one and in best agreement with the multi-model consensus TVCE. Although Norbert is weakening, tropical moisture should continue to spread northward across northern Mexico and the southwestern United States. This could result in heavy rains and life-threatening flash flooding in these area during the next day or two. Please see information from your local weather office for more details. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Norbert. For future information on the post-tropical cyclone, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEP1 and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0900Z 27.4N 118.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 08/1800Z 27.7N 118.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 09/0600Z 28.5N 118.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 09/1800Z 29.0N 117.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 10/0600Z 29.3N 116.9W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kimberlain

Tags: number discussion forecast cyclone

 

Sites : [443] [444] [445] [446] [447] [448] [449] [450] [451] [452] [453] [454] [455] [456] [457] [458] [459] [460] [461] [462] next »