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Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA Public Advisory Number 26
2014-06-15 22:39:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT SUN JUN 15 2014 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 152039 TCPEP3 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTINA ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 200 PM PDT SUN JUN 15 2014 ...CRISTINA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 113.9W ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A FEW DAYS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON CRISTINA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2014-06-15 22:39:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUN 15 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 152039 PWSEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 2100 UTC SUN JUN 15 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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cristina
Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA Forecast Advisory Number 26
2014-06-15 22:38:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUN 15 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 152038 TCMEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 2100 UTC SUN JUN 15 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 113.9W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 113.9W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.0N 114.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.7N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.4N 116.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 23.1N 116.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 113.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON CRISTINA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Post-Tropical Cyclone AMANDA Graphics
2014-05-29 23:07:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 29 May 2014 20:36:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 29 May 2014 21:03:49 GMT
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amanda
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posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone AMANDA Forecast Discussion Number 29
2014-05-29 22:35:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU MAY 29 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 292035 TCDEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 200 PM PDT THU MAY 29 2014 Satellite images indicate that the low-level center of Amanda has become diffuse and could be opening up into a trough. In addition, organized deep convection has been absent near the center of circulation for most of the day. Therefore, Amanda is now declared a remnant low, and this is the last advisory on this system issued by the National Hurricane Center. The remnant low is moving eastward at about 7 kt. The weak cyclone is expected to slow down and become nearly stationary on Thursday, before turning southwestward on Friday. Dissipation is expected to occur in 3 to 4 days, following the guidance of the GFS and ECMWF models. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/2100Z 16.2N 109.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 30/0600Z 16.5N 108.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 30/1800Z 16.8N 108.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 31/0600Z 16.8N 108.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 31/1800Z 16.7N 108.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 01/1800Z 16.0N 109.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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