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Post-Tropical Cyclone ARTHUR Public Advisory Number 18A
2014-07-05 13:56:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014 000 WTNT31 KNHC 051156 TCPAT1 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 800 AM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014 ...ARTHUR BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA AND DOWN EAST MAINE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...44.5N 66.5W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NNW OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH... ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND OVER THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 54 MPH...87 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT LUNENBURG NOVA SCOTIA. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM SURFACE DATA AND NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GALE FORCE WINDS HAVE REACHED PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE WARNING AREA TODAY. IN ADDITION...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE TODAY...BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT HAS OVERTAKEN THE CIRCULATION OF ARTHUR. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY. RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR EASTERN MAINE...WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA...AND NEW BRUNSWICK...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. SWELLS ARE ALSO AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
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Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Graphics
2014-07-02 11:18:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 02 Jul 2014 08:56:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Jul 2014 09:07:15 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Forecast Discussion Number 8
2014-07-02 10:58:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 020858 TCDEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 200 AM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 Elida has been devoid of deep convection near the center for more than 12 hours, and there currently isn't even a thunderstorm within 250 nmi of the center. Therefore, Elida is now declared a remnant low, and this is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. The initial intensity is lowered to 25 kt based on a 02/0348 UTC ASCAT-B overpass, which indicated that 26-kt winds existed in the southern quadrant. The remnant low is drifting east-southeastward to southeastward at around 2 kt. The low is expected to meander offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico today before turning westward on Thursday, and continue moving in that direction until it dissipates in a couple of days. Although the ocean is very warm and the atmosphere is quite moist, hostile northwesterly vertical wind shear of near 30 kt is expected to prevent regeneration into a tropical cyclone. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0900Z 16.9N 103.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 02/1800Z 16.7N 102.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 03/0600Z 16.6N 102.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 03/1800Z 16.6N 103.8W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA (EP5/EP052014)
2014-07-02 10:56:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ELIDA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ... As of 2:00 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 the center of ELIDA was located near 16.9, -103.0 with movement SE at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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ep5ep052014
Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Public Advisory Number 8
2014-07-02 10:56:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 020856 TCPEP5 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 200 AM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 ...ELIDA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 103.0W ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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